Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:42:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe3e…685d
other · 52 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$2 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$20
Realized+$1
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses28 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions23
Markets (closed)29 / 52
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day24.4
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit19%
Chart Positions 23 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ryan Christie: 3+ goals No 95¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Under 90¢ 92¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Ahmed Alaa: 3+ goals No 98¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Mark McKenzie: 1+ assists No 95¢ 95¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Tim Weah: 3+ goals No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Mohammed Muntari: 3+ goals No 98¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Malik Tillman: 3+ goals No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Ricardo Pepi: 3+ goals No 99¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Folarin Balogun: 3+ goals No 99¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Christian Pulisic: 3+ goals No 99¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Folarin Balogun: 2+ goals No 95¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Antonio Sanabria: 3+ goals No 99¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Gio Reyna: 3+ goals No 99¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Manuel Akanji: 2+ goals No 97¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Mohammed Muntari: 2+ goals No 97¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Cédric Itten: 3+ goals No 98¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ goals No 94¢ 70¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-26%)
Christian Fassnacht: 3+ goals No 98¢ 69¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-30%)
Chris Richards: 1+ assists No 95¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-39%)
Júnior Alonso: 1+ assists No 94¢ 53¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-44%)
Omar Alderete: 1+ assists No 95¢ 53¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-44%)
Tim Ream: 1+ assists No 95¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-46%)
Ermedin Demirović: 5+ shots No 94¢ 49¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-48%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Tarik Muharemović: 1+ assists Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Ermedin Demirović: 1+ assists Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Derek Cornelius: 1+ assists Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Ermedin Demirović: 3+ goals Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Promise David: 3+ goals Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Amar Memić: 2+ goals Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Tajon Buchanan: 3+ goals Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Jacob Shaffelburg: 3+ goals Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $4 −$2 -46%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Pavel Šulc: 2+ goals Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Tomáš Souček: 2+ goals Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Yang Hyunjun: 2+ goals Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Kim Jingyu: 2+ goals Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bae Junho: 2+ goals Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Vladimír Darida: 2+ goals Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Gilberto Mora: 3+ goals Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Roberto Alvarado: 3+ goals Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Brian Gutiérrez: 3+ goals Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Edson Álvarez: 2+ goals Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Evidence Makgopa: 3+ goals Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +11%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 76% −$2
sports 24% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Antonio Sanabria: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Christian Pulisic: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Folarin Balogun: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Ricardo Pepi: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Gio Reyna: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Malik Tillman: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Tim Weah: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Over 55¢ $1 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Over 95¢ $2 2h
Manuel Akanji: 2+ goals BUY No 97¢ $1 3h
Mohammed Muntari: 2+ goals BUY No 97¢ $1 3h
Christian Fassnacht: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $1 3h
Cédric Itten: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $1 3h
Folarin Balogun: 2+ goals BUY No 95¢ $1 3h
Ermedin Demirović: 1+ assists BUY No 92¢ $1 3h
Amar Memić: 2+ goals BUY No 98¢ $1 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 97¢ $1 3h
Ryan Christie: 3+ goals BUY No 95¢ $1 17h
Tarik Muharemović: 1+ assists BUY No 92¢ $1 17h
Derek Cornelius: 1+ assists BUY No 94¢ $1 17h
Chris Richards: 1+ assists BUY No 95¢ $1 17h
Mark McKenzie: 1+ assists BUY No 95¢ $1 17h
Júnior Alonso: 1+ assists BUY No 94¢ $1 17h
Omar Alderete: 1+ assists BUY No 95¢ $1 17h
Tim Ream: 1+ assists BUY No 95¢ $1 17h
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ goals BUY No 94¢ $1 17h
Ahmed Alaa: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $1 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Under 90¢ $1 17h
Tarik Muharemović: 1+ assists BUY No 94¢ $1 17h
Ermedin Demirović: 5+ shots BUY No 94¢ $1 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-3.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +7.1% -3.1% 97% 17% -7.2%
≤30d 29 +7.1% -3.1% 97% 17% -7.2%
≤90d 29 +7.1% -3.1% 97% 17% -7.2%
all 29 +7.1% -3.1% 97% 17% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.1% 17% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -12.4% 3% -16.0%
15% -20.8% 3% -24.2%
20% -28.6% 3% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.09 · official $20.09 (match) · 84 history records