trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 10% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 24 | $115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 08 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | May 20 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 15 | $114 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 08 | $353 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 18 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 14 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 28 | $238 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $238 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 16 | $238 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma | Mar 09 | $238 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 27 | $238 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Feb 06 | $238 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 03 | $238 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 01 | $239 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 30 | $241 | −$3 | -1% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 29 | $232 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 06 | $237 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jan 03 | $238 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 03 | $229 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 02 | $234 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Dec 30 | $235 | $0 | -0% |