Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:50:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BE 0xbe4a…896f crypto 76 markets active 5d ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$40 (-10%) realized −$40 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate43%33W / 43L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day51.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$52
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -5.4% -14.4% 46% 42% -12.9%
≤30d 76 -11.5% -20.0% 43% 41% -21.6%
≤90d 76 -11.5% -20.0% 43% 41% -21.6%
all 76 -11.5% -20.0% 43% 41% -21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 41% -21.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 33% -29.1%
15% -34.6% 20% -36.0%
20% -41.0% 12% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$3 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses33 / 43
Open positions0
Markets (closed)76 / 76
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day51.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 76 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +450%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 215 history records