Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:02:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe53…2dba
sports · 1776 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,506 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,446 · open +$60
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,154
Realized+$1,446
Unrealized+$60
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1308 / 514
Est. fees paid−$174
Open positions41
Markets (closed)1822 / 1776
History coverage20d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day138.8
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 41 History 1822 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,280
7 days−$1,372
14 days+$217
30 days+$1,446
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 88¢ $300 $298 −$2 (-1%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 24¢ 36¢ $100 $145 +$45 (+45%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $80 $79 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 78¢ 78¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 74¢ 74¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 71¢ 70¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 57¢ 57¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 65¢ 65¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 77¢ 100¢ $23 $30 +$7 (+30%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Wanted Goons 67¢ 100¢ $20 $30 +$10 (+50%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 79¢ 78¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 73¢ 92¢ $22 $28 +$6 (+27%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 98¢ 98¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-0%)
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? No 94¢ 92¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-2%)
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? Yes 94¢ 91¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-4%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 86¢ 88¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+2%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 75¢ 62¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-18%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+19%)
Will Team Spirit qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Yes 89¢ 96¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 26¢ 28¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+5%)
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool? No 95¢ 98¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool? No 97¢ 98¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool? No 95¢ 96¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$6 -587%
XRP Up or Down - March 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$10 -6182%
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 2PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$5 -309%
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$6 -2054%
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$6 -735%
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$7 -4547%
Shymkent: Bekkhan Atlangeriev vs Viktor Durasovic Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$6 -4930%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$8 -5825%
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -2554%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -1824%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 5AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -2730%
Ostrava: Rudolf Molleker vs Henri Squire Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$7 -4644%
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -1613%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$6 -1920%
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -2738%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -1644%
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -2039%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -1469%
Solana Up or Down - March 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$4 +17238%
XRP Up or Down - March 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Menorca: Zdenek Kolar vs Sergio Callejon Jun 13 $6 −$11 -165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -4095%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% +$4,993
other 13% +$660
politics 2% −$30
weather 1% −$41
world 1% +$8
finance 0% −$6
crypto 0% +$8
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Houston Astros 100¢ $30 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL New York Mets 100¢ $30 1h
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $12 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals SELL Seattle Mariners 100¢ $30 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 73¢ $9 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 77¢ $23 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 73¢ $13 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 75¢ $8 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 75¢ $3 1h
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 34¢ $10 2h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 76¢ $23 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 100¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 67¢ $20 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $30 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 74¢ $22 2h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 95¢ $29 2h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Boston Red Sox 100¢ $30 2h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 75¢ $5 3h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 75¢ $4 3h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 75¢ $3 3h
Will G2 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? BUY Yes 69¢ $10 3h
Will The MongolZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? BUY Yes 60¢ $10 3h
Will Falcons qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? SELL Yes 65¢ $8 3h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 100¢ $30 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 78¢ $50 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 79¢ $30 3h
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac BUY No 98¢ $15 3h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 71¢ $21 3h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 67¢ $20 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1031 -21.5% -28.9% 56% 51% -12.3%
≤30d 1822 -1.9% -11.3% 72% 65% -1.4%
≤90d 1822 -1.9% -11.3% 72% 65% -1.4%
all 1822 -1.9% -11.3% 72% 65% -1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover138.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 65% -1.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 49% -10.9%
15% -27.5% 25% -19.5%
20% -34.6% 3% -27.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,153.61 · official $1,153.67 (match) · 3500 history records