Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:33:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe57…53c6
crypto · 596 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$361 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$362 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$5
Realized−$362
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses270 / 324
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions1
Markets (closed)594 / 596
Avg bet$5
Trades / day15.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 594 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days−$84
14 days−$104
30 days−$242
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Marco Cecchinato 14¢ 18¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+29%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $4 +$9 +200%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -60%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -55%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +84%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $1 −$1 -57%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $3 +$5 +188%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $1 +$1 +123%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $5 −$2 -39%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $2 +$4 +177%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +112%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $2 +$3 +143%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $4 +$8 +230%
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 10 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$6 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +88%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $1 $0 -23%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $1 $0 -15%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 10 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 09 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $27 −$27 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 63% −$201
sports 35% −$110
other 3% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis SELL David Jorda Sanchis 83¢ $3 16m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino SELL Zhizhen Zhang 45¢ $1 17m
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis SELL David Jorda Sanchis 75¢ $9 19m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Marco Cecchinato 11¢ $1 54m
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 17¢ $1 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Marco Cecchinato 12¢ $1 1h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 21¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 37¢ $1 1h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 31¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 39¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 45¢ $2 1h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 43¢ $1 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Marco Cecchinato 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 15h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? SELL Yes 11¢ $0 15h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 15h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 15h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 15h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY 57¢ $3 15h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Marin Cilic 19¢ $1 16h
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw BUY Pedro Martinez 21¢ $1 19h
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw BUY Pedro Martinez 30¢ $1 19h
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover BUY Carlos Sanchez Jover 32¢ $1 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -12.6% -20.9% 36% 36% -37.7%
≤30d 255 -14.1% -22.3% 36% 35% -28.7%
≤90d 427 -6.8% -15.7% 42% 40% -24.0%
all 594 -6.2% -15.1% 45% 44% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.1% 44% -21.2%
10% -23.3% 42% -28.8%
15% -30.7% 38% -35.7%
20% -37.5% 30% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.53 · official $4.53 (match) · 2120 history records