Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:28:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe5a…13f5
sports · 746 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$10,667 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,671 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized−$10,671
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses375 / 369
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$1,716
Open positions2
Markets (closed)744 / 746
History coverage162d
Avg bet$314
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 744 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$106
7 days+$470
14 days+$198
30 days−$499
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 57¢ 100¢ $24 $42 +$18 (+75%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 66¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner L1ga Team 35¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner L1ga Team 53¢ 0¢ $507 $0 −$507 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Liquid 48¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 51¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 48¢ 0¢ $447 $0 −$447 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 46¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina Coco Gauff 61¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Over 65¢ 0¢ $279 $0 −$279 (-100%)
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner MOUZ 55¢ 0¢ $193 $0 −$193 (-100%)
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner Power Rangers 40¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Aurora 56¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage LGD Gaming 46¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs Yellow Submarine 60¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner Team Falcons 47¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs Stariy Bog Club - Game 1 Winner Ramzes Club 64¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $16 +$11 +70%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$24 +238%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$38 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $33 +$17 +52%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $21 +$11 +50%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $15 −$15 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $27 +$18 +70%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $15 +$11 +73%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $36 +$5 +13%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $16 +$21 +126%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $59 +$41 +70%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $41 +$29 +69%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $66 +$34 +52%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $20 +$12 +57%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $40 +$20 +52%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $132 +$68 +52%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $32 +$17 +53%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $152 +$106 +70%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $50 +$24 +48%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $15 −$15 -99%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $15 +$16 +105%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $51 +$9 +18%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $54 +$57 +107%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $46 +$38 +82%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $20 +$13 +65%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $20 −$20 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $45 +$38 +85%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $244 −$240 -98%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $102 +$149 +146%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $206 −$202 -98%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $272 −$267 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $44 +$31 +72%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $172 −$170 -99%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $102 +$142 +140%
Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 1.5 May 28 $28 −$28 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $123 −$121 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $176 +$245 +139%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $77 −$77 -100%
Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $51 +$33 +64%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $52 −$51 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $52 +$51 +98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $34 +$17 +50%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 May 27 $282 −$279 -99%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $56 −$55 -98%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $199 +$139 +70%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $74 −$73 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$9,555
other 2% −$1,088
world 0% +$175
culture 0% −$200
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 59¢ $16 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 24¢ $15 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 46¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 46¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 46¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 46¢ $11 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $10 5h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $33 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 12¢ $5 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 12¢ $10 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 66¢ $21 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 68¢ $41 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 59¢ $27 29h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 39¢ $4 29h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 57¢ $15 30h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $32 31h
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 33¢ $4 47h
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $1 47h
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $11 47h
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $42 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $17 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 44¢ $5 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 47¢ $5 2d
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $66 2d
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $1 2d
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $1 2d
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +34.2% +21.4% 78% 78% +31.0%
≤30d 165 +3.1% -6.8% 56% 56% -13.6%
≤90d 653 -19.5% -27.2% 44% 43% -19.6%
all 744 -6.2% -15.2% 50% 49% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.2% 49% -13.6%
10% -23.3% 46% -21.9%
15% -30.7% 44% -29.5%
20% -37.5% 40% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.10 · official $42.26 (match) · 2235 history records