Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:07:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe7f…656b
crypto · 124 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$24 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$5
Realized+$25
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses78 / 45
Open positions1
Markets (closed)123 / 124
History coverage6d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day59.0
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 123 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$25
14 days+$25
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 45¢ 76¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+68%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 40¢ 24¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 20¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 22¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 48¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 20¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 29¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 43¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 66¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 40¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 69¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 22¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 96¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$7 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $38 −$8 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$10 -67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 123 +10.7% +0.2% 63% 41% -6.5%
≤30d 123 +10.7% +0.2% 63% 41% -6.5%
≤90d 123 +10.7% +0.2% 63% 41% -6.5%
all 123 +10.7% +0.2% 63% 41% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.2% 41% -6.5%
10% ← realistic here -9.4% 27% -15.4%
15% -18.1% 17% -23.6%
20% -26.2% 12% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.00 · official $5.15 (match) · 424 history records