Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe91…cd5b
crypto · 96 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$191 -35%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$189 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$6
Realized−$189
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses39 / 55
Open positions2
Markets (closed)94 / 96
Avg bet$6
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$32
14 days−$189
30 days−$189
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week? No 81¢ 62¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-23%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No 51¢ 44¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$6 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$3 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$9 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 31 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 31 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 31 $8 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 31 $3 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 31 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 31 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 31 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 31 $8 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 31 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 31 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 31 $3 −$2 -77%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 31 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 31 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 31 $5 +$7 +137%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 31 $8 +$16 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 31 $7 −$7 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 31 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 31 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 31 $8 +$7 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 31 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$93
other 18% −$96
politics 1% −$1
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 10h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY No 51¢ $3 16h
Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week? BUY No 81¢ $5 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-32.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -50.9% -55.6% 26% 13% -51.9%
≤30d 94 -25.0% -32.2% 41% 32% -42.2%
≤90d 94 -25.0% -32.2% 41% 32% -42.2%
all 94 -25.0% -32.2% 41% 32% -42.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.2% 32% -42.2%
10% -38.7% 22% -47.7%
15% -44.6% 16% -52.8%
20% -50.0% 10% -57.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.39 · official $6.45 (match) · 444 history records