Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:00:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbe92…7d35
crypto · 46 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses26 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day70.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +112%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -2.9% -12.2% 57% 57% -14.9%
≤30d 46 -2.9% -12.2% 57% 57% -14.9%
≤90d 46 -2.9% -12.2% 57% 57% -14.9%
all 46 -2.9% -12.2% 57% 57% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 57% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 50% -23.0%
15% -28.2% 46% -30.4%
20% -35.3% 35% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 105 history records