Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:13:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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BE 0xbe94…1f5c crypto 1581 markets active 2d ago coverage 54d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 53d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$833 (-3%) realized −$833 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate76%1207W / 374L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day48.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$117
14 days−$117
30 days−$820
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,281
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 -6.3% -15.2% 85% 20% -17.2%
≤30d 926 -5.8% -14.8% 73% 44% -17.4%
≤90d 1581 -5.2% -14.2% 76% 29% -14.0%
all 1581 -5.2% -14.2% 76% 29% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover48.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 29% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 19% -22.2%
15% -29.9% 16% -29.7%
20% -36.8% 6% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
58% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$9 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

54d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$833
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1207 / 374
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1581 / 1581
History coverage54d ⚠
Avg bet$17
Trades / day48.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1581 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 18 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $14 +$3 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 40h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 42h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $9 42h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 42h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 42h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records