Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:17:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BE 0xbe95…7ee9 sports 68 markets active 7d ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$38 (-6%) realized −$38 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate28%19W / 49L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day26.6pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 73% −$62
sports 19% −$4
other 8% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -9.6% -18.2% 29% 14% -11.8%
≤30d 68 -11.7% -20.1% 28% 15% -19.5%
≤90d 68 -11.7% -20.1% 28% 15% -19.5%
all 68 -11.7% -20.1% 28% 15% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 15% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 10% -27.2%
15% -34.7% 7% -34.3%
20% -41.1% 4% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 45% · top 2 65% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
47% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.14 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.44 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses19 / 49
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)68 / 68
History coverage19d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 68 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $20 $0 +2%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 $0 -9%
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -5%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -3%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -3%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Spread: Nigeria (-1.5) Jun 10 $0 $0 -90%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $0 $0 +56%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5 Jun 10 $0 $0 +15%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -5%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $3 $0 -5%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $2 $0 -4%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $7 −$6 -83%
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5) Jun 10 $1 $0 -12%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 10 $2 $0 -3%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $3 +$1 +45%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -5%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 10 $3 −$1 -33%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $0 $0 -98%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $5 −$1 -12%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -13%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $3 $0 +14%
Will Varbergs BoIS vs. Norrby IF end in a draw? Jun 10 $4 $0 -6%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 10 $13 $0 +3%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 10 $1 $0 -6%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $2 −$1 -44%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $21 +$6 +30%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 10 $2 $0 -3%
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 $0 -2%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $8 +$1 +10%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -5%
Orebro SK vs. GIF Sundsvall: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -6%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? Jun 10 $3 $0 -0%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 10 $1 $0 -7%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -11%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -6%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $1 $0 -12%
ITF Zagreb: Adrienn Nagy vs Eszter Meri Jun 10 $8 −$1 -13%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? Jun 10 $20 −$1 -3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 10 $0 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 59¢ $5 6d
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? SELL No 89¢ $1 6d
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5 SELL Under 79¢ $1 6d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 54¢ $1 6d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 79¢ $1 6d
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? SELL No 93¢ $1 6d
Spread: England (-1.5) SELL England 67¢ $1 6d
Spread: Nigeria (-1.5) SELL Nigeria 0¢ $0 6d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 47¢ $0 6d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5 SELL Under 87¢ $1 6d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 54¢ $1 6d
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 SELL Over 10¢ $1 6d
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 10¢ $1 6d
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? BUY No 84¢ $1 6d
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 82¢ $1 6d
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? SELL No 71¢ $1 6d
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? SELL Yes 53¢ $1 6d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 28¢ $2 6d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 28¢ $2 6d
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic SELL Marie Bouzkova 52¢ $1 6d
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? BUY No 71¢ $1 6d
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) SELL Nigeria 74¢ $1 6d
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5) SELL Málaga CF 87¢ $1 6d
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 6d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5 SELL Under 5¢ $0 6d
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) BUY Nigeria 73¢ $1 6d
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) SELL Nigeria 89¢ $1 6d
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5) BUY Málaga CF 99¢ $1 6d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 62¢ $1 6d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 62¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 518 history records