trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -1.7% | -11.1% | 0% | 0% | -11.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -4.1% | -13.3% | 0% | 0% | -13.6% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -17.9% | -25.7% | 28% | 0% | -20.1% |
| all | 18 | -17.9% | -25.7% | 28% | 0% | -20.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.7% | 0% | -20.1% |
| 10% | -32.8% | 0% | -27.7% |
| 15% | -39.3% | 0% | -34.7% |
| 20% | -45.3% | 0% | -41.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $711 | $700 | −$11 (-2%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-16%) |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 27¢ | 28¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Jun 16 | $212 | −$4 | -2% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 30 | $289 | −$19 | -6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | May 23 | $4,936 | −$496 | -10% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? | May 14 | $426 | −$67 | -16% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 14 | $55 | −$12 | -22% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 14 | $32 | $0 | +2% |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | May 12 | $302 | −$152 | -50% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | May 09 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 09 | $277 | +$4 | +1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 04 | $170 | −$34 | -20% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | May 02 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | May 01 | $76 | −$2 | -3% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Apr 30 | $25 | $0 | -1% |
| Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31? | Apr 28 | $27 | −$15 | -55% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 28 | $4 | −$3 | -58% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | Apr 28 | $56 | −$32 | -57% |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026? | Apr 24 | $102 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | Apr 24 | $128 | +$13 | +10% |