trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +49.6% | +35.3% | 55% | 55% | +55.9% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +27.8% | +15.6% | 50% | 50% | +36.1% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +9.6% | -0.8% | 48% | 48% | +4.1% |
| all | 23 | +6.8% | -3.4% | 43% | 43% | -7.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.4% | 43% | -7.3% |
| 10% | -12.7% | 43% | -16.1% |
| 15% | -21.1% | 30% | -24.2% |
| 20% | -28.8% | 26% | -31.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | No | 50¢ | 50¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup? | Yes | 37¢ | 48¢ | $60 | $78 | +$18 (+30%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 13¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $30 | $28 | −$2 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5 | Jun 21 | $10 | −$6 | -62% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $41 | +$39 | +96% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) AND Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $30 | +$33 | +108% |
| Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Curaçao? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $15 | +$4 | +25% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti? | Jun 20 | $5 | +$28 | +549% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $61 | +$44 | +73% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? A | Jun 17 | $43 | +$67 | +156% |
| Algeria leading at halftime? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $112 | −$15 | -13% |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | May 30 | $121 | +$29 | +24% |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer | May 30 | $10 | −$4 | -36% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 20 | $101 | +$24 | +24% |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 29 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? | Apr 29 | $36 | +$54 | +152% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10? | Apr 28 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Manchester City FC leading at halftime? | Apr 28 | $110 | −$110 | -100% |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | Apr 20 | $100 | +$36 | +36% |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Mar 17 | $197 | −$87 | -44% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11? | Mar 11 | $200 | −$3 | -2% |