trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 19 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 63% | 32% | -17.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.3% | 32% | -17.5% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 32% | -25.4% |
| 15% | -28.4% | 11% | -32.6% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 0% | -39.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $330 | $330 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 26 | $260 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jaylen McCollough lead the NFL in interceptions this season? | Jan 29 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Valorant: MIBR Female vs Ninetails (BO3) | Jan 29 | $1 | $0 | +24% |
| Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement? | Jan 29 | $1 | $0 | +47% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 29 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy? | Jan 29 | $6 | −$1 | -13% |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025? | Nov 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral el | Sep 19 | $2 | −$1 | -62% |
| Will Tesla name a new CEO before July? | Jul 15 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 9? | May 13 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Devils vs. Maple Leafs | Feb 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Kendrick Lamar release another album in 2024? | Jan 16 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| Todd Boehly removed as Chelsea Chairman? | Jan 16 | $5 | +$2 | +33% |
| Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025? | Dec 16 | $362 | −$1 | -0% |
| World Series Champion: Dodgers vs. Yankees | Nov 09 | $3 | +$1 | +25% |
| Will the election be called on Nov 5? | Oct 28 | $14 | −$1 | -8% |
| Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% Friday? | Oct 11 | $2 | +$1 | +45% |
| Will Jill Biden speak at the DNC? | Sep 12 | $1 | $0 | +33% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Aug 11 | $122 | −$67 | -55% |