Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:18:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbeb4…da45
crypto · 514 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,976 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,976 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$4,976
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses462 / 533
Open positions1
Markets (closed)995 / 514
History coverage1d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day3004.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 995 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,976
7 days−$4,976
14 days−$4,976
30 days−$4,976
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 58¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$210
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-53.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 995 -48.8% -53.6% 46% 1% -34.2%
≤30d 995 -48.8% -53.6% 46% 1% -34.2%
≤90d 995 -48.8% -53.6% 46% 1% -34.2%
all 995 -48.8% -53.6% 46% 1% -34.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3004.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -53.6% 1% -34.2%
10% ← realistic here -58.1% 1% -40.5%
15% -62.1% 0% -46.3%
20% -65.8% 0% -51.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.87 · official $1.31 (match) · 3500 history records