Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T23:16:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BE 0xbebe…2ac8 crypto 795 markets active 1d ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d only
✗ bot/MM pace (95 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$436 (+2%) realized +$436 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate47%384W / 437L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day94.5pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$71
14 days−$74
30 days−$233
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$99
other 1% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (95 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -42.9% -48.3% 33% 26% -15.9%
≤30d 694 -7.1% -16.0% 47% 17% -13.7%
≤90d 821 -7.2% -16.1% 47% 17% -13.5%
all 821 -7.2% -16.1% 47% 17% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover94.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 17% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 9% -21.8%
15% -31.4% 6% -29.3%
20% -38.2% 5% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 37% · top 2 43% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$10 · ×1.04 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$436
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses384 / 437
Open positions0
Markets (closed)821 / 795
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$29
Trades / day94.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 821 Trades
no open positions (100 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 25 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 25 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 25 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 24 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 24 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 24 $26 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 24 $53 +$174 +329%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 24 $52 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 24 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 24 $53 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 24 $26 +$9 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$38 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$16 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 24 $157 −$125 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 24 $74 +$44 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 24 $52 +$38 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 24 $62 −$20 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$16 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$3 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 05 $8 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$1 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $51 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $13 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $227 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $53 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $25 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $25 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $25 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $26 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $27 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $26 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $35 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $26 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $32 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $26 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $35 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $26 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $26 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $27 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $25 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $53 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $53 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $4 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $11 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records