Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:43:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbebf…51d8
sports · 171 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$618 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$567 · open −$51
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$567
Unrealized−$51
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses107 / 61
Est. fees paid−$79
Open positions3
Markets (closed)168 / 171
History coverage7d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day54.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$388
7 days−$545
14 days−$567
30 days−$567
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Vitality 94¢ 92¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 80¢ 77¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 72¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 61¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Top Esports Challenger 20¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 15¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 50¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Liquid 60¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 35¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner UNiTY esports 67¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 83¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Dragon Ranger Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Karmine Corp 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Vitality 72¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 28¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 82¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 34¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner G2 Esports 64¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner paiN 49¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Liquid 59¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $60 +$6 +11%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$6 +18%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $75 −$21 -28%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $139 −$54 -39%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$2 -44%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $60 +$5 +8%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $60 +$4 +7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $33 −$24 -74%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $57 −$42 -74%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $38 +$1 +3%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $30 +$2 +6%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$11 -54%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $46 −$45 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $49 +$45 +91%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$8 +38%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 +$8 +64%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $76 +$38 +50%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$1 +15%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $223 −$20 -9%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 +$1 +8%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $85 +$8 +10%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $53 −$28 -53%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $34 −$4 -12%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $87 +$37 +43%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$8 +41%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$2 +20%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $35 −$11 -30%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $61 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $21 −$12 -59%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $98 −$60 -62%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $71 −$30 -42%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $20 +$5 +24%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $60 +$6 +9%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $57 −$9 -16%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 99.5 Jun 11 $14 −$7 -49%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $35 −$35 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $91 −$24 -27%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $137 −$66 -48%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $80 +$2 +2%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $80 +$6 +8%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $50 +$23 +46%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $433 −$223 -52%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $90 +$14 +15%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $50 +$5 +10%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $48 +$48 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$623
other 1% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Vitality 94¢ $20 6m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 80¢ $15 15m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $67 16m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 90¢ $60 32m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $36 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 84¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 93¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 43¢ $28 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 76¢ $50 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 98¢ $74 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 98¢ $74 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 14¢ $11 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 39¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 82¢ $65 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 68¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $65 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 92¢ $60 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $64 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 93¢ $60 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $12 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 8¢ $9 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 28¢ $36 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $39 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 97¢ $38 6h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis SELL David Jorda Sanchis 97¢ $32 6h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 91¢ $30 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 29¢ $33 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 158 -5.6% -14.6% 64% 46% -14.7%
≤30d 168 -6.4% -15.3% 64% 47% -14.8%
≤90d 168 -6.4% -15.3% 64% 47% -14.8%
all 168 -6.4% -15.3% 64% 47% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 47% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 32% -23.0%
15% -30.8% 26% -30.4%
20% -37.6% 13% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.05 · official $34.05 (match) · 408 history records