Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:27:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbec0…b953
crypto · 1458 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,677 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,677 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,677
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses850 / 608
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1458 / 1458
History coverage68d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day29.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1458 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,645
7 days−$4,883
14 days−$4,820
30 days−$3,524
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $193 $0 −$193 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $111 −$110 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$83 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $158 +$27 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $134 +$24 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $199 +$35 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $101 −$98 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$48 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$78 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $199 +$119 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $180 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $196 +$88 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $155 +$38 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $135 +$19 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $116 +$72 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $248 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $293 −$144 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $127 +$67 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $259 +$71 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $337 −$141 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $292 +$20 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $190 −$180 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$24 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $103 −$9 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $140 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$43 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $200 −$196 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$23 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$24 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $43 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $77 +$17 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $119 +$60 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $156 +$22 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $88 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $133 −$130 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $141 +$31 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $283 +$60 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $144 +$38 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $221 +$21 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $198 +$24 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$97 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $144 −$141 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $133 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $212 +$22 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $195 +$22 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3,677
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $111 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $99 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $85 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $158 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $134 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $199 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $80 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $41 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $34 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $199 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $180 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $196 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $155 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $135 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $116 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $55 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $248 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $199 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $94 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $127 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $102 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $200 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $143 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $15 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 263 -36.7% -42.7% 43% 35% -29.8%
≤30d 397 -18.0% -25.8% 55% 50% -20.9%
≤90d 1458 -5.9% -14.8% 58% 55% -14.3%
all 1458 -5.9% -14.8% 58% 55% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 55% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 50% -22.5%
15% -30.4% 40% -30.0%
20% -37.2% 16% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records