Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:39:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbec7…5d18
sports · 57 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses10 / 32
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions15
Markets (closed)42 / 57
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day55.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 15 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 80¢ 80¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Over 58¢ 57¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 56¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 54¢ 54¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Ciryl Gane 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Brazil 51¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 35¢ 34¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 28¢ 33¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+18%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Derrick Lewis 22¢ 22¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Top Esports 31¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Kyle Daukaus 27¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Brazil leading at halftime? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Fed rate hike in 2026? Jun 14 $5 −$1 -11%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14? Jun 14 $3 $0 -11%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -85%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14? Jun 14 $3 $0 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 $0 -25%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14? Jun 14 $0 $0 +34%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $9 −$1 -6%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 $0 -13%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 +$3 +109%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $3 $0 -17%
Brazil leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $2 $0 -11%
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47 Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -32%
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$2 -55%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -87%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$2 +225%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -12%
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 13 $1 $0 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -59%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meetin Jun 13 $3 $0 -12%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $3 −$1 -21%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -20%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2 $0 -18%
ITF Los Angeles: Spencer Johnson vs Nathan Trouve Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13? Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? Jun 12 $2 $0 -30%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $2 −$1 -71%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +108%
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 46% −$4
other 23% −$3
weather 21% −$2
economics 4% −$1
culture 3% $0
world 2% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Fed rate hike in 2026? SELL Yes 37¢ $1 4m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14? SELL Yes 47¢ $2 11m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 31m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 58¢ $3 34m
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14? SELL Yes 24¢ $3 34m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14? SELL Yes 29¢ $1 49m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $3 49m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 59m
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Brazil 51¢ $3 59m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Top Esports 31¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14? SELL Yes 36¢ $0 1h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $3 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 55¢ $3 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 56¢ $3 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Kyle Daukaus 27¢ $1 2h
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA Worl BUY Yes 35¢ $2 3h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 4h
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) SELL Knicks 30¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14? BUY Yes 25¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14? BUY Yes 50¢ $3 4h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 5h
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Derrick Lewis 22¢ $2 5h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $5 5h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Arizona Diamondbacks 48¢ $2 7h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -8.9% -17.6% 24% 24% -18.7%
≤30d 42 -8.9% -17.6% 24% 24% -18.7%
≤90d 42 -8.9% -17.6% 24% 24% -18.7%
all 42 -8.9% -17.6% 24% 24% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 24% -18.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 14% -26.5%
15% -32.7% 10% -33.6%
20% -39.3% 10% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.54 · official $35.54 (match) · 115 history records