Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:19:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BE 0xbed1…b1b0 crypto 838 markets active 8h ago coverage 36d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$6 (-0%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate50%423W / 415L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day36.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$50
14 days−$47
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$48
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 568 -8.0% -16.8% 50% 48% -16.4%
≤30d 835 -4.0% -13.1% 51% 49% -12.6%
≤90d 838 -4.2% -13.3% 50% 48% -12.8%
all 838 -4.2% -13.3% 50% 48% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover36.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 48% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 46% -21.1%
15% -29.2% 40% -28.7%
20% -36.1% 33% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses423 / 415
Open positions0
Markets (closed)838 / 838
History coverage36d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day36.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 838 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 25h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 25h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 25h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 25h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2213 history records