trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 29 | $1,251 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 29 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 29 | $1,289 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $1,271 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 16 | $91 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 16 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | May 16 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | May 14 | $807 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | May 14 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 14 | $790 | $0 | +0% |
| Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? | May 14 | $790 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 13 | $814 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 13 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | May 12 | $839 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | May 12 | $811 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | May 12 | $815 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 12 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 12 | $784 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom i | May 12 | $768 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Apr 11 | $148 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 11 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 11 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | Apr 07 | $121 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 07 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 07 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 2? | Apr 02 | $16 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 02 | $138 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Apr 02 | $24 | $0 | -0% |