trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Germany | 51¢ | 54¢ | $15 | $16 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Spread: Germany (-4.5) | Germany | 33¢ | 34¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Spread: Germany (-5.5) | Germany | 19¢ | 24¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+24%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Daniel Svensson: 1+ assists | Yes | 18¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-47%) |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | Canadiens | 59¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Trail Blazers | 17¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 60¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 | Under | 53¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Golden Knights vs. Ducks | Ducks | 54¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | Hurricanes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Avalanche vs. Wild | Avalanche | 56¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5 | Over | 25¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Cavaliers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Spurs | 29¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | Over | 46¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Lakers | 24¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | Avalanche | 46¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Stars vs. Wild | Stars | 34¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | 76ers | 51¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 22¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 14¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$6 | +109% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$9 | +180% |
| Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $5 | +$8 | +149% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 | Jun 07 | $5 | +$4 | +83% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 | May 26 | $5 | +$19 | +365% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 | May 24 | $5 | +$7 | +134% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 22 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $5 | +$11 | +216% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | May 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Golden Knights vs. Ducks | May 15 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | May 14 | $5 | +$2 | +48% |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | May 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | May 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 12 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 | May 11 | $5 | +$5 | +105% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 11 | $5 | +$7 | +146% |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | May 10 | $5 | +$3 | +52% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 09 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Avalanche vs. Wild | May 09 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5 | May 07 | $5 | +$4 | +86% |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights | May 06 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 | May 05 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 05 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | May 04 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | May 04 | $5 | +$7 | +129% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $5 | +$8 | +152% |
| Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 | May 03 | $5 | +$4 | +86% |
| Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5 | May 02 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $5 | +$7 | +146% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | May 02 | $5 | +$6 | +114% |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 | May 02 | $5 | +$5 | +97% |
| Sabres vs. Bruins | May 02 | $5 | +$4 | +86% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | May 01 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Oilers vs. Ducks | May 01 | $5 | +$6 | +114% |
| Stars vs. Wild | Apr 30 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Wild vs. Stars | Apr 29 | $5 | +$6 | +114% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 28 | $3 | −$2 | -98% |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | Apr 28 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Blue Jackets | Apr 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) | Apr 27 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) | Apr 27 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Islanders | Apr 27 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +6.0% | -4.1% | 43% | 43% | -2.9% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +29.3% | +17.0% | 47% | 47% | +11.0% |
| ≤90d | 544 | -60.3% | -64.1% | 19% | 18% | -60.3% |
| all | 911 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 47% | 46% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.7% | 46% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -16.6% | 45% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 45% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 44% | -32.7% |