trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +3.2% | -6.6% | 50% | 17% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 44% | 11% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 50% | 19% | -9.2% |
| all | 21 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 57% | 14% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.9% | 14% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 17 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $9 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $105 | −$2 | -2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Jun 11 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 10 | $36 | +$1 | +3% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the | Apr 27 | $114 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first roun | Apr 23 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 11 | $281 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 11 | $4 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 10 | $281 | $0 | +0% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | Apr 10 | $9 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 10 | $280 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in March? | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Liverpool beat Tottenham? | Jan 09 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |