Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:55:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbef8…e572
other · 6 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)2 / 6
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 4 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-73%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +103%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 18h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 31h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +1.6% -8.1% 50% 50% -6.9%
≤30d 2 +1.6% -8.1% 50% 50% -6.9%
≤90d 2 +1.6% -8.1% 50% 50% -6.9%
all 2 +1.6% -8.1% 50% 50% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.1% 50% -6.9%
10% -16.9% 50% -15.8%
15% -24.9% 50% -24.0%
20% -32.3% 50% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.15 · official $11.15 (match) · 7 history records