Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BE
0xbef9…e579
crypto · 68 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$30 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$17
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses37 / 30
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)67 / 68
History coverage3d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day63.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days−$17
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 35¢ 4¢ $15 $2 −$13 (-90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$18 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$30 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$12 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$16 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$14 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$12 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$5 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$23 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$7 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Jun 11 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$5 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $27 −$16 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$4 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$30
sports 1% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $46 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $48 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +3.3% -6.6% 55% 52% -11.5%
≤30d 67 +3.3% -6.6% 55% 52% -11.5%
≤90d 67 +3.3% -6.6% 55% 52% -11.5%
all 67 +3.3% -6.6% 55% 52% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.6% 52% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 43% -20.0%
15% -23.7% 37% -27.7%
20% -31.1% 34% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.51 · official $25.29 · 234 history records