trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 44% | 11% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 44% | 11% | -8.9% |
| all | 22 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 45% | 5% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.9% | 5% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 5% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 26 | $41 | −$1 | -1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $2 | +$1 | +32% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 26 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $44 | +$1 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 25 | $39 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 25 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? | Jun 26 | $12 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the next Pope be from Oceania? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 16 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on France in the first 100 days? | Apr 15 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 250-274 times April 4 - 11? | Apr 10 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? | Apr 01 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 31 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series? | Mar 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| March Madness: Will 0 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4? | Mar 26 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 24 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? | Mar 22 | $14 | $0 | +1% |