Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:00:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf03…f369
crypto · 1509 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$319 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$321 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$321
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses697 / 639
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1336 / 1509
History coverage12d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day172.2
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 3 History 1336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$93
7 days+$176
14 days+$321
30 days+$321
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 54¢ 55¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +107%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$11 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +113%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$294
other 2% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-0.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 878 +8.4% -2.0% 51% 51% -2.0%
≤30d 1336 +10.5% -0.0% 52% 52% -0.4%
≤90d 1336 +10.5% -0.0% 52% 52% -0.4%
all 1336 +10.5% -0.0% 52% 52% -0.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover172.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.0% 52% -0.4%
10% ← realistic here -9.6% 52% -10.0%
15% -18.3% 52% -18.7%
20% -26.3% 52% -26.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.33 · official $8.50 · 2894 history records