Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T06:41:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BF 0xbf31…9ea0 crypto 105 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$223 (-6%) realized −$223 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate64%67W / 38L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$34per market
Trades / day61.9pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% −$336
other 7% +$2
sports 3% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 -2.2% -11.6% 64% 40% -18.1%
≤30d 105 -2.2% -11.6% 64% 40% -18.1%
≤90d 105 -2.2% -11.6% 64% 40% -18.1%
all 105 -2.2% -11.6% 64% 40% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover61.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 40% -18.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 19% -25.9%
15% -27.7% 10% -33.1%
20% -34.8% 4% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$19 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.52 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$223
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses67 / 38
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)105 / 105
History coverage3d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day61.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 105 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 24 $47 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 24 $100 −$16 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 24 $100 −$41 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$10 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$7 +13%
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo? Jun 24 $20 −$20 -100%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5 Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 24 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 24 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 24 $15 −$7 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 24 $9 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $50 −$34 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 23 $50 −$17 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 23 $20 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 23 $20 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 23 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$6 -56%
England vs. Ghana: Second half draw? Jun 23 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$6 +65%
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Second half draw? Jun 23 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 23 $40 −$14 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $40 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 23 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 23 $40 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 23 $40 −$14 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 23 $25 +$7 +27%
Algeria to win the second half? Jun 23 $13 +$9 +67%
Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 0 Algeria? Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 23 $40 −$11 -28%
Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 23 $40 −$9 -23%
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 Senegal? Jun 23 $20 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 Senegal? Jun 23 $20 +$1 +3%
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal? Jun 23 $20 +$1 +4%
Norway vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $10 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $53 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $47 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $59 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $50 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $25 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $50 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $54 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 2h
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo? BUY No 51¢ $20 3h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $2 3h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 78¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $57 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $55 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $54 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $59 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 279 history records