Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf33…6bf7
crypto · 49 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$245 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$243 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$157
Realized−$243
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses19 / 29
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)48 / 49
History coverage1d
Avg bet$395
Trades / day3035.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$243
7 days−$243
14 days−$243
30 days−$243
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 26¢ 41¢ $76 $121 +$45 (+60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 64¢ 59¢ $38 $35 −$3 (-7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $315 +$23 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $130 +$57 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $276 −$8 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $373 +$151 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $172 −$93 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $495 −$105 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $428 −$25 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $622 −$101 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $332 +$116 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $210 −$99 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $278 +$74 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $532 +$36 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $270 −$73 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $173 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $458 −$52 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $538 +$37 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $272 −$19 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $417 −$88 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $191 −$108 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $249 −$66 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $207 −$80 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $457 −$24 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $296 −$78 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $276 +$32 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $451 +$91 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $171 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $293 +$43 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $277 −$81 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $232 +$37 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $432 +$69 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $387 −$34 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $234 +$104 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $351 −$51 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1,144 −$45 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $417 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $450 −$54 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $250 +$316 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $406 −$177 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $670 −$135 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $331 −$103 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $389 −$105 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $484 −$91 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $391 +$55 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1,117 −$21 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$173 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $415 −$77 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1,359 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $124 +$318 +256%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$246
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $26 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $26 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $0 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +2.9% -6.9% 40% 29% -10.7%
≤30d 48 +2.9% -6.9% 40% 29% -10.7%
≤90d 48 +2.9% -6.9% 40% 29% -10.7%
all 48 +2.9% -6.9% 40% 29% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3035.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 29% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -15.8% 17% -19.2%
15% -24.0% 12% -27.0%
20% -31.4% 4% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $156.82 · official $209.95 · 3500 history records