Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:06:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf37…7353
crypto · 31 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$21 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses16 / 15
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)31 / 31
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day31.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +3%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 +$6 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$10 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$17 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +110%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$32
other 4% $0
sports 2% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $21 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $20 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -3.0% -12.2% 52% 45% -18.7%
≤30d 31 -3.0% -12.2% 52% 45% -18.7%
≤90d 31 -3.0% -12.2% 52% 45% -18.7%
all 31 -3.0% -12.2% 52% 45% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 45% -18.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 42% -26.5%
15% -28.3% 32% -33.6%
20% -35.3% 29% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 66 history records