Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:29:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf38…b08b
crypto · 1675 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$39 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$39 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1264 / 410
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1674 / 1675
History coverage75d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day29.1
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1674 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$60
14 days−$60
30 days+$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+27%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+16%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -54%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -45%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -65%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +173%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -73%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -68%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -75%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +28%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -75%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -87%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -61%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$34
other 2% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +72%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 425 -2.8% -12.0% 70% 70% -15.7%
≤30d 1517 +1.2% -8.4% 76% 73% -8.1%
≤90d 1674 +0.8% -8.8% 76% 72% -8.3%
all 1674 +0.8% -8.8% 76% 72% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 72% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 29% -17.1%
15% -25.5% 11% -25.1%
20% -32.8% 4% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.28 · official $6.17 (match) · 3500 history records