trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +22.8% | +11.1% | 75% | 75% | -3.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +49.5% | +35.3% | 71% | 71% | +18.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +34.1% | +21.3% | 70% | 60% | +6.2% |
| all | 10 | +34.1% | +21.3% | 70% | 60% | +6.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +21.3% | 60% | +6.2% |
| 10% | +9.7% | 60% | -4.0% |
| 15% | -0.9% | 50% | -13.3% |
| 20% | -10.6% | 50% | -21.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $206 | +$57 | +28% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $255 | −$164 | -64% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $168 | +$88 | +52% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $95 | +$72 | +76% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $284 | +$265 | +93% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 30 | $79 | +$206 | +262% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $144 | −$140 | -98% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | May 15 | $2,978 | +$222 | +8% |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026? | Apr 16 | $100 | −$96 | -96% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Apr 14 | $341 | +$296 | +87% |