Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:23:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf49…b4a5
sports · 187 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,321 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,498 · open +$177
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$549
Realized−$1,498
Unrealized+$177
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses95 / 85
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$229
Open positions7
Markets (closed)180 / 187
History coverage26d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day62.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 7 History 180 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$260
7 days−$584
14 days−$748
30 days−$1,498
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No 30¢ 84¢ $78 $218 +$140 (+180%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 100¢ $38 $76 +$38 (+99%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $67 $68 +$1 (+1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 76¢ 82¢ $57 $62 +$5 (+8%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 43¢ 48¢ $51 $58 +$7 (+13%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 55¢ 46¢ $61 $51 −$10 (-16%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No 50¢ 42¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-15%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 67¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Tom Gentzsch 47¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 56¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 56¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 61¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Juan Manuel Cerundolo 39¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 45¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 72¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova Coco Gauff 68¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic 55¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 19¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Faria Jan-Lennard Struff 52¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 21¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $77 +$1 +2%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $113 −$112 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $279 −$227 -81%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $16 −$16 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $16 +$6 +36%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $48 +$14 +30%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $71 +$31 +43%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $43 +$75 +175%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $47 −$46 -98%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $36 +$28 +78%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $32 +$21 +65%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $47 −$40 -86%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $16 +$4 +24%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $31 +$35 +111%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 10 $20 +$12 +57%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $39 −$39 -99%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $25 −$24 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $43 −$36 -85%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $48 +$40 +84%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 09 $44 −$43 -99%
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball Jun 09 $56 +$26 +47%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $27 +$18 +67%
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Jun 09 $21 +$4 +19%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $49 −$48 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $16 +$8 +49%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $37 +$18 +47%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $38 +$23 +59%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $57 −$56 -99%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $98 −$96 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Jun 09 $20 +$11 +56%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $64 +$96 +150%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $54 −$53 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $51 −$45 -88%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $95 −$94 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $69 +$67 +97%
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina Jun 08 $10 +$14 +140%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $39 +$26 +65%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $17 −$17 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $11 +$5 +44%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $13 +$35 +264%
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 08 $2 $0 +17%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $16 −$16 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $38 −$35 -94%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $81 −$80 -99%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering Jun 08 $17 +$2 +12%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $40 −$34 -83%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $25 +$12 +49%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $29 +$17 +58%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $40 +$37 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$660
crypto 7% −$425
other 3% −$69
world 2% −$164
politics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Arizona Diamondbacks 52¢ $78 59m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 48¢ $2 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 48¢ $2 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 48¢ $5 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 48¢ $1 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 48¢ $5 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 48¢ $1 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 50¢ $10 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 51¢ $7 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 50¢ $5 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 50¢ $6 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 50¢ $6 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 50¢ $26 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 72¢ $6 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 49¢ $1 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 49¢ $3 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 49¢ $9 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 49¢ $3 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 49¢ $16 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $16 4h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 59¢ $2 5h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 59¢ $2 5h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 59¢ $2 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $37 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $32 5h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 59¢ $7 5h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 59¢ $68 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 15¢ $17 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 17¢ $30 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 21¢ $16 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -0.6% -10.1% 57% 56% -22.6%
≤30d 180 -5.1% -14.1% 53% 50% -15.1%
≤90d 180 -5.1% -14.1% 53% 50% -15.1%
all 180 -5.1% -14.1% 53% 50% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 50% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 43% -23.3%
15% -29.8% 37% -30.7%
20% -36.7% 29% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $549.48 · official $549.48 (match) · 1760 history records