Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:22:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf54…77cc
crypto · 70 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$17 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses40 / 29
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)69 / 70
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day108.2
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$17
14 days+$17
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +88%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +47%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +127%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +132%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -81%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +47%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$9 +80%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -41%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +103%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -80%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% +$17
sports 23% +$1
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 100¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 100¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 100¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 100¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 100¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 100¢ $2 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 99¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 98¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 98¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 98¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 98¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 98¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 99¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 98¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 98¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 98¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 98¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 98¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 99¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 98¢ $2 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 93¢ $2 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 95¢ $2 15h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 95¢ $2 15h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 95¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -6.1% -15.0% 58% 49% -1.1%
≤30d 69 -6.1% -15.0% 58% 49% -1.1%
≤90d 69 -6.1% -15.0% 58% 49% -1.1%
all 69 -6.1% -15.0% 58% 49% -1.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 49% -1.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 36% -10.6%
15% -30.6% 20% -19.2%
20% -37.4% 12% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.36 · official $10.36 (match) · 201 history records