Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:14:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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BF 0xbf5c…cd66 crypto 1639 markets active 1h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$157 (+0%) realized +$157 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1614W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$30per market
Trades / day53.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$46
7 days+$111
14 days+$129
30 days+$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% +$94
other 8% +$15
sports 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 408 +0.4% -9.2% 99% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 1442 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 1636 +0.1% -9.5% 99% 0% -9.4%
all 1636 +0.1% -9.5% 99% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$24 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.16 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$157
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1614 / 22
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1636 / 1639
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$30
Trades / day53.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1636 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $53 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$2 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $49 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $49 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $47 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $39 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $52 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $83 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $48 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $53 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $51 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $53 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $51 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $38 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $49 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $41 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $41 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $23 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $26 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $49 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.87 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records