Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:47:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf6a…bf42
crypto · 808 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$824 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$622 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$622
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses568 / 238
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)806 / 808
History coverage156d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day17.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 806 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$187
7 days+$187
14 days+$187
30 days+$187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$10 +40%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $101 +$41 +40%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $243 +$136 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Apr 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Apr 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Apr 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Apr 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Apr 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Apr 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Apr 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Apr 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Apr 16 $5 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Apr 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Apr 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Apr 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Apr 16 $5 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Apr 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Apr 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Apr 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Apr 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Apr 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Apr 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Apr 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Apr 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Apr 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Apr 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Apr 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Apr 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Apr 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Apr 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Apr 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Apr 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Apr 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Apr 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Apr 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Apr 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Apr 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Apr 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Apr 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Apr 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Apr 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Apr 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Apr 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$250
other 6% +$48
sports 5% −$80
world 4% −$240
weather 1% −$99
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY 42¢ $102 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 BUY Under 71¢ $101 7h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $142 12h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $101 15h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY 49¢ $254 15h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 14? BUY Yes 70¢ $9 60d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 14? BUY Yes 72¢ $90 60d
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28? BUY Yes 53¢ $33 77d
Will United States win on 2026-03-28? SELL Yes $1 77d
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Gro SELL Bebop 100¢ $31 77d
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Gro BUY Bebop 87¢ $27 77d
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $24 77d
Will United States win on 2026-03-28? BUY Yes 32¢ $8 77d
Will United States win on 2026-03-28? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 77d
Will United States win on 2026-03-28? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 77d
Will United States win on 2026-03-28? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 77d
Will United States win on 2026-03-28? BUY Yes 31¢ $27 77d
Will United States win on 2026-03-28? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 77d
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner SELL RUSTEC $1 77d
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner BUY RUSTEC 56¢ $4 77d
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Ana Sofia Sanchez vs Gabriela Ce SELL Gabriela Ce 75¢ $4 77d
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Ana Sofia Sanchez vs Gabriela Ce BUY Gabriela Ce 78¢ $4 77d
Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $4 77d
Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw? BUY Yes 56¢ $2 77d
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-28? SELL Yes $2 77d
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-28? BUY Yes 56¢ $26 77d
Will Japan win on 2026-03-28? SELL Yes 92¢ $26 77d
Will Japan win on 2026-03-28? BUY Yes 88¢ $25 77d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +45.5% +31.7% 100% 100% +36.2%
≤30d 3 +45.5% +31.7% 100% 100% +36.2%
≤90d 95 -79.8% -81.7% 9% 7% -43.6%
all 806 -6.0% -14.9% 70% 9% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 9% -14.0%
10% -23.1% 5% -22.3%
15% -30.5% 3% -29.8%
20% -37.3% 2% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $100.00 · 3500 history records