trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +50.7% | +36.4% | 100% | 100% | +14.2% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +39.3% | +26.1% | 80% | 80% | +14.2% |
| all | 8 | +11.2% | +0.6% | 50% | 50% | +13.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.6% | 50% | +13.9% |
| 10% | -9.0% | 38% | +3.0% |
| 15% | -17.8% | 25% | -7.0% |
| 20% | -25.9% | 25% | -16.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 18 | $1,265 | +$306 | +24% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1,010 | +$215 | +21% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $50 | +$50 | +101% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 12 | $128 | +$72 | +56% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | Jan 10 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Yoon arrested by January 31? | Jan 10 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| Biden drops out of presidential race? | Jan 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |