Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:42:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf80…3bc5
crypto · 80 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$71 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses38 / 41
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)79 / 80
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day62.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$74
7 days−$74
14 days−$74
30 days−$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 63¢ 80¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+27%)
Martin Landaluce vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Emilio Nava 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BC Neptunas Klaipeda vs. BC Lietkabelis Panevezys BC Lietkabelis Panevezys 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Pedro Martinez 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Carlos Sanchez Jover 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $5 +$6 +121%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $8 +$4 +44%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $3 +$5 +172%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $3 +$4 +128%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $10 −$3 -32%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $5 +$4 +71%
BC Neptunas Klaipeda vs. BC Lietkabelis Panevezys Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +166%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Martin Landaluce vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $10 +$5 +46%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $2 −$2 -91%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -85%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +62%
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) Jun 11 $3 +$3 +104%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 51% −$67
sports 48% −$9
other 1% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 63¢ $10 32m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Daniel Galan 99¢ $11 33m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 44¢ $5 50m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 92¢ $12 51m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 63¢ $8 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 100¢ $8 1h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 49¢ $4 3h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 46¢ $3 3h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 100¢ $7 3h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 43¢ $3 3h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 46¢ $5 4h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 BUY Over 61¢ $5 20h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla SELL Dusan Lajovic 51¢ $5 20h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 36¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 21h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 28¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 22h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 99¢ $9 23h
BC Neptunas Klaipeda vs. BC Lietkabelis Panevezys BUY BC Lietkabelis Panevezys 35¢ $3 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 57¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 24h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra SELL Solana Sierra 14¢ $2 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-25.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -17.6% -25.4% 48% 47% -26.5%
≤30d 79 -17.6% -25.4% 48% 47% -26.5%
≤90d 79 -17.6% -25.4% 48% 47% -26.5%
all 79 -17.6% -25.4% 48% 47% -26.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.4% 47% -26.5%
10% ← realistic here -32.6% 44% -33.5%
15% -39.1% 35% -40.0%
20% -45.1% 27% -45.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.70 · official $12.70 (match) · 138 history records