Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf8d…c93a
crypto · 158 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$420 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$427 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$109
Realized−$427
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses227 / 412
Open positions2
Markets (closed)639 / 158
History coverage1d
Avg bet$95
Trades / day3349.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 639 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$427
7 days−$427
14 days−$427
30 days−$427
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 37¢ 50¢ $24 $32 +$8 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 55¢ 60¢ $28 $30 +$2 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 37¢ 40¢ $23 $26 +$2 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 36¢ 50¢ $12 $17 +$5 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+70%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+79%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+82%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$58 -10133%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$64 +256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$46 +150%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$85 +200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$10 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$69 +916%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$205 +2332%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $43 +$199 +458%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$67 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$21 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$47 -666%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$263 +1932%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$78 +1132%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$30 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$672 +1184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$134 +377%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$57 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$287 +2414%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$539 +1436%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$221 +2100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$97 +939%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$620
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $6 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $6 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+110.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 639 +132.3% +110.1% 36% 32% -11.0%
≤30d 639 +132.3% +110.1% 36% 32% -11.0%
≤90d 639 +132.3% +110.1% 36% 32% -11.0%
all 639 +132.3% +110.1% 36% 32% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3349.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +110.1% 32% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here +90.0% 29% -19.5%
15% +71.7% 26% -27.3%
20% +54.8% 23% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $109.42 · official $97.09 · 3500 history records