Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:26:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbf8d…d1e2
crypto · 283 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$7 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses274 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)283 / 283
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day266.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 283 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 283 +2.4% -7.3% 97% 8% -8.7%
≤30d 283 +2.4% -7.3% 97% 8% -8.7%
≤90d 283 +2.4% -7.3% 97% 8% -8.7%
all 283 +2.4% -7.3% 97% 8% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover266.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 8% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 1% -17.4%
15% -24.3% 0% -25.4%
20% -31.7% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 639 history records