Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T18:33:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
BF 0xbfab…f067 sports 209 markets active 1h ago coverage 28d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$8,267 (+3%) realized +$8,267 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +29% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -5% what you keep after slip
Net edge-5%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate68%143W / 66L
Whale WR77%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,253per market
Trades / day52.7pace
Fees−$3,244est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,710
7 days+$6,493
14 days+$2,712
30 days+$5,368
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$5,367
other 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +105.5% +85.9% 73% 68% +12.5%
≤30d 209 +29.1% +16.8% 68% 57% -5.8%
≤90d 209 +29.1% +16.8% 68% 57% -5.8%
all 209 +29.1% +16.8% 68% 57% -5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +16.8% 57% -5.8%
10% +5.6% 36% -14.8%
15% ← realistic here -4.6% 24% -23.1%
20% -13.9% 16% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +29% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 77% (≥$1,620) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +19% → late +39% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
5.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$352 vs −$682 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$8,267
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses143 / 66
Whale WR (big bets)77%
Est. fees paid−$3,244
Open positions0
Markets (closed)209 / 209
History coverage28d
Avg bet$1,253
Trades / day52.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 209 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $2,547 +$890 +35%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $2,398 +$1,244 +52%
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $2,138 +$20 +1%
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $476 −$257 -54%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South Ameri Jun 18 $402 +$92 +23%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $1,003 +$107 +11%
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Amaru Gaming (+1.5) Jun 17 $403 +$122 +30%
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $2,698 +$410 +15%
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Jun 17 $1,389 +$1,194 +86%
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $1,592 +$191 +12%
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $1,118 −$522 -47%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $463 +$186 +40%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group Jun 17 $131 −$57 -43%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $221 +$18 +8%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - The International China Cl Jun 17 $1,303 +$103 +8%
Dota 2: Flame Team vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 16 $1,319 +$313 +24%
Dota 2: Flame Team vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $1,118 +$1,656 +148%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Grou Jun 16 $3,062 −$38 -1%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $1,677 +$201 +12%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 16 $804 +$140 +18%
Dota 2: Hokori vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - The International South America Jun 16 $201 +$34 +17%
Dota 2: RisingRage vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South Amer Jun 15 $50 +$17 +34%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $396 −$94 -24%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $51 +$47 +93%
Dota 2: Lindorfitos vs x5 Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $201 +$51 +25%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $216 +$38 +17%
Dota 2: Lindorfitos vs x5 Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $301 +$46 +15%
Dota 2: summer bear vs Hive - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $101 −$8 -8%
Dota 2: summer bear vs Hive - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $233 +$175 +75%
Dota 2: summer bear vs Hive (BO3) - European Pro League Group A Jun 15 $222 −$43 -19%
Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - EPL World Series Southea Jun 15 $706 +$25 +4%
Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Cloud Rising (+1.5) Jun 15 $202 +$76 +38%
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Cl Jun 15 $202 +$89 +44%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group Jun 14 $684 +$211 +31%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $588 +$296 +50%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $566 −$104 -18%
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Carstensz (BO3) - EPL World Series Southe Jun 14 $355 +$305 +86%
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group A Jun 13 $606 −$518 -86%
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $812 −$115 -14%
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $144 +$80 +55%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $460 +$326 +71%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $302 +$82 +27%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,000 −$536 -27%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 12 $4 $0 -12%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P Jun 10 $1,632 −$1,620 -99%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $337 −$300 -89%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op Jun 10 $269 +$148 +55%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $1,228 +$303 +25%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $202 +$65 +32%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,301 −$1,288 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner SELL Flame Team 100¢ $2,857 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 90¢ $301 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 88¢ $301 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 86¢ $264 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 61¢ $101 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 63¢ $202 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 55¢ $101 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner SELL Zero Tenacity 37¢ $36 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 56¢ $101 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 56¢ $101 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner SELL Zero Tenacity 44¢ $76 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 55¢ $101 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 45¢ $203 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 45¢ $102 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner SELL Zero Tenacity 47¢ $20 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 34¢ $3 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 23¢ $2 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner SELL Flame Team 24¢ $12 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Zero Tenacity 65¢ $101 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Zero Tenacity 61¢ $101 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner SELL Flame Team 47¢ $180 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 51¢ $101 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 47¢ $102 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner SELL Flame Team 41¢ $257 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 38¢ $53 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 36¢ $102 1h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Flame Team 40¢ $102 2h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner SELL Flame Team 100¢ $3,129 2h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Flame Team 93¢ $100 2h
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Flame Team 93¢ $100 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1519 history records