trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +41.6% | +28.1% | 100% | 100% | +28.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +115.0% | +94.5% | 100% | 100% | +58.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +46.7% | +32.7% | 100% | 36% | +71.4% |
| all | 15 | +34.6% | +21.8% | 100% | 27% | +64.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +21.8% | 27% | +64.2% |
| 10% | +10.1% | 27% | +48.5% |
| 15% | -0.5% | 27% | +34.1% |
| 20% | -10.3% | 20% | +21.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $569 | +$237 | +42% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $171 | +$322 | +188% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 17 | $167 | +$234 | +140% |
| Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | May 16 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28? | May 16 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | May 16 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31? | May 16 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | May 16 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | May 16 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 6? | May 16 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | May 16 | $175 | +$244 | +140% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Feb 03 | $8 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.00 end of January? | Feb 03 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Jan 10 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31? | Jan 10 | $46 | $0 | +0% |