trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +14.8% | +3.9% | 67% | 67% | +11.5% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 57% | 57% | +0.4% |
| ≤90d | 217 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 44% | 42% | -10.0% |
| all | 219 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 44% | 42% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.4% | 42% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -23.5% | 38% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -30.9% | 31% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 25% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $200 | $224 | +$24 (+12%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $200 | $198 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 69¢ | $200 | $193 | −$7 (-3%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 7¢ | $100 | $63 | −$37 (-37%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $25 | $29 | +$4 (+15%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $201 | +$53 | +26% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $301 | −$5 | -2% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $203 | +$148 | +73% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $51 | +$29 | +58% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $21 | −$2 | -10% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $51 | +$24 | +46% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $152 | +$86 | +57% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $101 | +$26 | +25% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$71 | +70% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $202 | +$80 | +40% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$55 | +55% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $201 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $553 | +$464 | +84% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $304 | −$245 | -80% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $102 | +$111 | +109% |
| Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $301 | −$4 | -2% |
| Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05? | Jun 05 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 05 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 04 | $151 | +$38 | +25% |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | May 09 | $16 | −$16 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | May 09 | $15 | −$10 | -67% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | May 09 | $25 | −$15 | -58% |
| Spread: Thunder (-16.5) | May 08 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $32 | +$20 | +61% |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | May 07 | $30 | −$24 | -78% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 07 | $20 | −$9 | -45% |
| Spread: Thunder (-16.5) | May 05 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | May 05 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) | May 05 | $20 | +$14 | +67% |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | May 04 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $71 | +$16 | +23% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 04 | $20 | +$6 | +32% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | May 03 | $22 | −$16 | -72% |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | May 03 | $20 | +$13 | +62% |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | May 03 | $20 | +$17 | +86% |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | May 02 | $30 | +$20 | +67% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | May 01 | $30 | −$24 | -78% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 01 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | May 01 | $15 | +$12 | +78% |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) | May 01 | $15 | +$12 | +77% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) | Apr 30 | $20 | +$19 | +93% |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) | Apr 30 | $30 | −$3 | -11% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 29 | $50 | −$5 | -9% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | Apr 29 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 29 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | Apr 29 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) | Apr 28 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | Apr 28 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |