Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbfc3…bf84
crypto · 42 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$53
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses28 / 8
Open positions4
Markets (closed)36 / 42
Avg bet$6
Trades / day32.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 4 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Will Dogecoin reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026? No 90¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0038 by December 31, 2026? No 79¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will 8+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 41¢ 23¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-44%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +114%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% $0
crypto 33% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Will Dogecoin reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $1 9h
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0038 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 79¢ $1 9h
Will 8+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 41¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 10h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 11h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND BUY 45¢ $102 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 19h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND BUY 16¢ $10 19h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 20h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 20h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -2.1% -11.4% 78% 56% -17.8%
≤30d 36 -2.1% -11.4% 78% 56% -17.8%
≤90d 36 -2.1% -11.4% 78% 56% -17.8%
all 36 -2.1% -11.4% 78% 56% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 56% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 19% -25.7%
15% -27.6% 11% -32.9%
20% -34.7% 11% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.79 · official $162.79 · 90 history records