Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:12:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BF 0xbfd0…a0c8 crypto 295 markets active 2d ago coverage 134d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$6 (+1%) realized +$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate71%210W / 85L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day7.1pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$7
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 237 -7.5% -16.3% 75% 40% -10.6%
≤30d 237 -7.5% -16.3% 75% 40% -10.6%
≤90d 237 -7.5% -16.3% 75% 40% -10.6%
all 295 -5.8% -14.8% 71% 42% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.8% 42% -10.5%
10% -23.0% 15% -19.1%
15% -30.4% 8% -26.9%
20% -37.2% 5% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.38 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

134d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses210 / 85
Open positions0
Markets (closed)295 / 295
History coverage134d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 295 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -58%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +21%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +37%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 37h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 37h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $0 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 37h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 38h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 38h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 38h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 994 history records