trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 11% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 11% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 21 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 43% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.9% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -22.1% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -29.7% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -36.6% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 02 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 31 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 30 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $39 | −$1 | -3% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 27 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 26 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Drulă? | Jun 25 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sam Altman buy TikTok? | May 20 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? | May 20 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 18 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Apr 16 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crin Antonescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romania | Apr 15 | $9 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.6% and 4.7% on April 11? | Apr 13 | $9 | $0 | +1% |