Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:01:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BF
0xbfe6…32a5
crypto · 41 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
−$5 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses28 / 12
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)40 / 41
History coverage42d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 1 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 84¢ 94¢ $14 $16 +$2 (+12%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Hanwha Eagles 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Hanwha Eagles 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Hanwha Eagles 84¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +67%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -52%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 12 $3 $0 +11%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 12 $15 −$1 -7%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +162%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins Jun 10 $3 +$1 +32%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz Jun 10 $1 +$2 +142%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $1 $0 -34%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $1 $0 -3%
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Samsung Lions May 07 $1 $0 +38%
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Samsung Lions May 06 $1 +$1 +53%
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Samsung Lions May 05 $1 $0 +35%
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev May 03 $1 $0 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% +$12
sports 22% −$10
other 9% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $11 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $8 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $6 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +13.4% +2.6% 71% 44% -9.0%
≤30d 36 +11.6% +1.0% 67% 42% -9.2%
≤90d 40 +14.1% +3.2% 70% 48% -8.5%
all 40 +14.1% +3.2% 70% 48% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.2% 48% -8.5%
10% -6.7% 40% -17.3%
15% -15.7% 25% -25.3%
20% -24.0% 20% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.68 · official $11.36 · 123 history records