Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:22:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc00d…565d
other · 104 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$50 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$58 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$73
Realized+$58
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses49 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)103 / 104
History coverage479d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 1 History 103 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$20
14 days+$20
30 days+$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 25¢ 22¢ $82 $73 −$8 (-10%)
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 12 $186 +$16 +8%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 10 $38 −$4 -9%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Jun 09 $189 $0 +0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 09 $101 $0 +0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 08 $596 +$2 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 07 $15 +$1 +9%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 07 $350 +$1 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 06 $521 +$3 +0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 06 $165 $0 +0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 04 $341 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 01 $182 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? May 29 $397 +$1 +0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab May 26 $200 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? May 25 $61 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? May 25 $35 −$2 -7%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 24 $341 +$52 +15%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? May 23 $141 −$4 -3%
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? May 21 $41 −$11 -26%
Iran leadership change by May 31? May 21 $153 −$3 -2%
Iran closes its airspace by May 18? May 16 $11 +$1 +6%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? May 14 $201 +$1 +0%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 23 $1,824 +$1 +0%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $914 $0 +0%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Apr 22 $911 +$4 +0%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 21 $27 −$4 -15%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? Jul 13 $14 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? Jul 13 $24 $0 +0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? Jul 13 $20 $0 +0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? Jul 13 $12 $0 +0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship? Jul 13 $12 $0 +0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jul 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025? Jul 12 $22 $0 +0%
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31? Jul 12 $3 +$1 +35%
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Jul 12 $1 $0 +9%
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? Jul 12 $12 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 12 $16 $0 -1%
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31? Jul 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb Jul 11 $12 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jul 11 $12 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July? Jul 10 $2 $0 -6%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? Jul 10 $22 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? Jul 10 $13 $0 +0%
Will Belinda Bencic win Wimbledon 2025? Jul 10 $7 $0 +1%
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? Jul 10 $13 $0 -0%
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? Jul 09 $11 $0 -1%
Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election Jul 09 $5 $0 -1%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Jul 09 $8 $0 +0%
Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year? Jul 09 $12 $0 -1%
Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025? Jul 09 $12 $0 +1%
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 08 $11 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 41% −$8
sports 22% −$9
other 19% −$2
politics 12% +$17
finance 4% +$52
crypto 1% $0
tech 0% +$1
economics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY No 25¢ $82 1h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 90¢ $49 5h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 90¢ $153 6h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 83¢ $163 9h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 83¢ $23 9h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 10¢ $3 41h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 10¢ $16 41h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 10¢ $16 41h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 11¢ $38 45h
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $55 3d
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $134 3d
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $128 3d
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $61 3d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL No 73¢ $6 3d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL No 73¢ $96 3d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY No 73¢ $101 3d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $208 3d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $208 3d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 5¢ $16 5d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 5¢ $15 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 81¢ $20 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 81¢ $167 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 81¢ $187 5d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 50¢ $79 5d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $79 5d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $165 6d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $165 6d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 50¢ $138 6d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $4 6d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $134 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +1.0% -8.6% 67% 0% -8.7%
≤30d 21 -3.8% -13.0% 52% 5% -8.2%
≤90d 25 -3.8% -13.0% 52% 4% -8.8%
all 103 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 6% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.9% 6% -8.8%
10% -17.6% 4% -17.5%
15% -25.6% 1% -25.5%
20% -32.9% 1% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $73.35 · official $73.35 (match) · 395 history records