Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:40:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C0 0xc011…3b70 crypto 1233 markets active 1d ago coverage 129d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 128d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$151 (-1%) realized −$151 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate57%707W / 526L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day25.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$102
14 days−$92
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$296
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 240 -9.2% -17.8% 55% 37% -14.7%
≤30d 251 -8.0% -16.8% 55% 38% -14.1%
≤90d 251 -8.0% -16.8% 55% 38% -14.1%
all 1233 -3.6% -12.8% 57% 47% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 47% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 15% -20.4%
15% -28.7% 3% -28.1%
20% -35.7% 1% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.58 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

129d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$151
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses707 / 526
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1233 / 1233
History coverage129d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day25.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1233 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$5 -62%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$6 -67%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$3 -33%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$5 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$1 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$2 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$6 -62%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$3 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$2 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$4 -49%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$2 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$1 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$1 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$3 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$6 -64%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$5 -64%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$1 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$4 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$1 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $8 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $3 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $3 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $5 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $7 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $8 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $5 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $9 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $2 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $2 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $2 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $4 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $9 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $3 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $9 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records