Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:44:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C0
0xc017…7242
crypto · 379 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,067 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,089 · open +$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$953
Realized−$6,089
Unrealized+$22
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses267 / 551
Open positions2
Markets (closed)818 / 379
History coverage1d
Avg bet$66
Trades / day3170.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 818 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,089
7 days−$6,089
14 days−$6,089
30 days−$6,089
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $142 $274 +$132 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 40¢ 100¢ $96 $240 +$144 (+150%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $53 $96 +$43 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $61 $83 +$21 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $49 $77 +$28 (+57%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $32 $68 +$36 (+114%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $38 $55 +$16 (+43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $14 $23 +$9 (+67%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 40¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+150%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 30¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+233%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 30¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+233%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $142 +$132 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $96 +$144 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$28 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $145 −$145 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$9 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +150%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +233%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +233%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +233%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +150%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +901%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +233%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +150%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +233%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +233%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$530
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $14 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $48 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $20 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $40 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $24 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $13 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $34 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-45.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 818 -39.9% -45.6% 33% 29% -26.9%
≤30d 818 -39.9% -45.6% 33% 29% -26.9%
≤90d 818 -39.9% -45.6% 33% 29% -26.9%
all 818 -39.9% -45.6% 33% 29% -26.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3170.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.6% 29% -26.9%
10% ← realistic here -50.8% 22% -33.9%
15% -55.6% 16% -40.3%
20% -59.9% 11% -46.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $952.70 · official $916.42 · 3500 history records